“Regardless of how things go, we are actually talking about growth close to 3 percent and this is more than next year’s projections both for the European Union and the euro zone, which are around 1 percent. This is sending us a message that we have growth potential (but) this growth will definitely not be explosive,” the minister said on the Žinių Radijas radio on Thursday.
“It is important to realize that the difficulties related to the Russia-Ukraine crisis and the crisis in the EU-Russia economic relations should be viewed as long-term difficulties,” he said.
Šadžius said that the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Moscow’s ban on some imports are currently having the biggest impact on the Lithuanian economy, but added that Lithuanian businesses are coping well with these difficulties.
“We see certain experience gained by privately-owned businesses in response to the difficulties, in redirecting their exports and dealing with emerging financial problems,” he said.
The Finance Ministry predicts that Lithuania’s GDP next year will grow by 3.4 percent and the central Bank of Lithuania expects that the economy will expand by 3.3 percent. The International Monetary Fund forecasts 3.1 percent growth for Lithuania in 2015 and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development projects 3.4 percent growth.
Analysts at Lithuania’s two largest banks – Swedbank and SEB – project GDP growth of 3.5 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively. DNB Bankas’ economic growth forecast for 2015, released last May, is somewhat more moderate at 3 percent. Nordea and Danske are the least optimistic about the country’s economic outlook, at 2.8 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively.